Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview, & Odds 7 24 2024

phillies twins prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order ranks as the 4th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability. Minnesota can’t keep Royce Lewis on the field, as he is back on the injured list. Jose Miranda is also dealing with an injury, which is two big blows for this Twins lineup. However, Minnesota still ranks fourth among MLB lineups in wRC+, and the Twins boast the top wOBA since the start of June. Suarez is not an elite strikeout guy, but his sinker and curveball combo help him keep the ball on the ground and limit the damage.

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75% of the Phillies’ infield was named to the All-Star team, and this team had depth throughout its lineup. The Phillies avoided the sweep in Pittsburgh and maintained their lead atop the MLB standings with an incredible record. Philadelphia has looked like the best team in the league all year and will offer a good benchmark matchup for the Twins.

Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins Latest Matches

We predict the Phillies, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Wednesday. “With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Phillies’ chance of winning at 52%, with the Twins at 48%.” Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.8% ROI). Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network.

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phillies twins prediction

Tony’s Picks disclaims any and all liability with your use of our site as well as any data/information on it. You agree to hold the owner of this site blameless from any claims that may arise from your usage of any third-party website that may be featured on Tony’s Picks’ site. On the other hand; Steven Okert, who this season has pitched for only 28.2 innings, has a rather better ERA of 4.4 and WHIP of 1.4.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • This suggests there might be value in betting on the Twins, especially considering public reluctance to back underdogs.
  • YouBaseball is a passionate sport in which specific outcomes are not always guaranteed.
  • Minnesota has been a very streaky team so far this season and they are in a battle with Cleveland and Kansas City in the AL Central.
  • The Minnesota Twins have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.
  • The Minnesota Twins (55-44) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (63-37) at Target Field on Wednesday.
  • However, by conducting research on the factors that can influence the likelihood of making accurate predictions, bettors can seriously maximize their potential returns.
  • The Phillies are enjoying a strong season, evidenced by their robust .258 batting average and an impressive slugging percentage of .422.
  • Ryan Jeffers has a team-high 14 home runs, 47 RBIs and 18 doubles with a .237 batting average and .320 OBP.

To increase the chances of baseball betting success, bettors must first understand the odds as well as variables that can affect the result of a team, player or game. If the numerator exceeds the denominator for a team’s odds, it indicates they are the underdog in addition to the profit being larger than the amount of the wager. If the denominator is higher than the numerator, it shows the favorite team and signifies that the payout will be lower than the stake.

  • Used primarily in Ireland and the United Kingdom, fractions show the profit you would receive for a successful bet.
  • Woods Richardson is a right-handed pitcher, 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA on the season.
  • The Twins will have Simeon Woods Richardson (3-1, 3.51 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Zack Wheeler (10-4, 2.70 ERA) for the Phillies.
  • Though, their current streak might raise some concerns as they stand at 1-4 in the last 5 games.
  • According to Dimers’ highly regarded predictive analytics model, the Phillies are more likely to defeat the Twins at Target Field.
  • Minnesota, as a team, allows opponents to hit under .220 against them.
  • Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Pitching

You just need to estimate if the number of runs that are scored in a baseball game will be over an amount set by a sportsbook. Sports betting operators release a total run line on each game. Philadelphia has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games while allowing 8 or more in 2 of its last phillies twins prediction 4. Minnesota has scored 4 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games and allowed 7 or more in 3 of its last 5. While both pitchers have demonstrated good control this season, both teams’ bats have been hot, which will aid the Over. The Phillies have dispatched 311 relievers to the mound for the year.

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I’d need more bang for my buck to go against the Phillies and Suarez with how he’s pitched this season. Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side. AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Twins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions.

MLB Odds & Betting Lines

Despite being ten games above .500, the Twins are just a game away from being knocked out of the AL Wild Card. Meanwhile, the Phillies will take on the Minnesota Twins, who can’t relax as much as the Phillies. The Twins are five games out of the AL Central and fighting amongst many for an AL Wild Card spot. The Philadelphia Phillies are currently the best team in the National League. They’re and lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Atlanta Braves. Bailey Ober is a pretty normal pitcher — solid and above average with a 4.14 ERA and 3.63 xERA.

MLB best bets: Phillies vs. Twins odds, picks, predictions for Mon. 7/22

Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 10-4 with a 2.76 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. Suarez has a 2.67 ERA and .205 allowed batting average in 57.1 road innings. This will be Suarez’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

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They rank 8th in the league holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they have dispatched 318 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have come in 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 46.5% out of 114 inherited runners. With 106 save situations, the Twins have accrued 61 holds and also 14 blown saves. The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Philadelphia has allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 484 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage.

  • A first five innings moneyline is a wager that only takes into account the outcome of a game’s first five innings.
  • For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call GAMBLER.
  • Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .422 and have been called out on strikes 835 times, while taking a walk on 344 occasions.
  • Based on the latest simulations, Dimers’ advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today’s game.
  • Philadelphia has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games while allowing 8 or more in 2 of its last 4.
  • But before you place your first MLB bet at an online sportsbook, let’s review what the pros already know.
  • He offers 3 free selections per day discussing the algorithms and metrics behind the game.

Phillies vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 23

  • Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props.
  • His hard-hit rate is starting to increase and he issued seven free passes during the three-start stretch.
  • That’s especially true given the fact he has to pitch against the hottest offense in baseball tonight.
  • Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.
  • They have struggled in their last few outings with a 2-4 straight-up record but have a strong performance history against American League Central teams (6-2 SU).
  • Both betting on underdogs and favorites will return your initial stake on top of your payout with a successful bet.
  • The Minnesota Twins are on the year after playing the Brewers and Giants.
  • Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts.

Philadelphia’s lineup has withstood injuries to Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, and JT Realmuto, seemingly not missing a beat. The Phillies offense ranks fourth in the league in scoring and third in wOBA. Hopefully, the all-star break was enough for Suarez to regain his form after his hot start. Always make sure to exercise responsibility and stop if betting is no longer enjoyable to you. The Phillies have not confirmed a starter for Wednesday’s game. He’s struggled against lefties but has dominated righties over the last 30 days.

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He will have a tough matchup against a Minnesota team that is destroying left-handed pitching. The Twins rank third in the league in wRC+ and wOBA against lefties. Castro, Correa, Buxton and Carlos Santana have an OPS above .900 against lefties.

Though anticipated to be the defeated team, underdogs frequently achieve victory. In the top of the 8th inning with two outs, the odds have adjusted to reflect the current score (Diamondbacks are the favorite to win at -270 odds, pre-game odds were -133). Again, for negative numbers, the value of the odds tells you how much you need to wager to win $100. American odds are the most common format used by top U.S. sportsbooks. Odds start with either a minus (-) or a plus (+) and are always a whole number (-135, +150, +250, -325, etc.). Minnesota is in second in the AL Central, sitting five games behind the Cleveland Guardians.

Using cutting-edge data analysis and computer power, Dimers has performed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday’s Phillies vs. Twins game. If you expect the Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Mets to have a combination of at least 8 runs, you can bet on over. If you believe the game will see 8 runs or fewer, you should bet on under. The Twins rank 6th in OPS vs. RHP while the Phillies check in at 7th in the category. Philadelphia has the huge edge in the pitching matchup, as Okert won’t last long and Festa has had trouble getting people out in recent weeks. Prioritize the mneyline, but PHILLIES -1.5 (-105) is a recommended play as well.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Plus, our World Series odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division. Dimers.com’s in-depth preview of Wednesday’s Phillies vs. Twins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds. Gambling is not offered on this website, and all betting content is intended for audiences ages 21+. All picks and predictions are based on each individual writer’s opinion, and don’t express that of ClutchPoints.

Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

They have walked 266 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.52 as a team so far this year. Philadelphia has allowed 778 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 346 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.40 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.17. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .422 and have been called out on strikes 835 times, while taking a walk on 344 occasions. They have amassed 472 RBI’s in addition to 878 hits for the year, while their batting average is .258. The Phillies have hit 160 doubles as a squad and have smacked 123 baseballs out of the park.

The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change. The leading online sportsbooks offer 200+ MLB betting options in an individual baseball game, which is quite impressive but may seem overwhelming to some. To help you narrow it down, we’ve listed the most common bets on Major League Baseball. Find the best MLB odds and maximize your winnings with our reliable and up-to-date MLB betting lines. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the scene, our platform provides all the information you need to place your baseball bets with confidence. The Minnesota Twins and Byron Buxton hit the field in the final game of a three-game series against Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday at Target Field.

These are often season-long or playoff-long wagers, which do not depend upon the result of a single baseball game. As the baseball season for MLB teams is divided into many series of consecutive games against the same opponent, you can also wager on the winner of the series. The Phillies have the best record in MLB, while Suarez has been one of their best pitchers.

Nola is having a good season, but he does have an ERA over 4.00 since the beginning of June. Minnesota is top-5 in batting average and slugging percentage. Minnesota has scored over 5 runs per game in the month of July, and it is a big reason that they are in second place in the AL Central. If the Twins can continue to hit the ball well, they will be able to win this game. They are at the top of the MLB in batting average, slugging percentage, on-base percentage, home runs, and runs scored.

Ryan Jeffers is batting .238 with 14 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last eight games. They are seventh in batting average, third in slugging percentage, seventh in home runs, and they are top-10 in runs scored.

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